Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 21 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 1 July 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 39th strongest of the 78 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 30 June 2026. 41 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 1 at 11:59AM EDT until July 1 at 1:00PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- May 18, 2026 · score 34 · 8.6 km
- June 30, 2026 · score 28 · 9.7 km
- July 28, 2026 · score 22 · 21.4 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 44.8944, -84.9939 |
| Nearest City | Traverse City (52 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-01T15:59:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ddef97c4cbd075bf972b211725ea7f9d |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-01T15:59:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-01T16:02:21.488Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary; Lake Huron from Presque Isle Lt. to Sturgeon Point MI 5NM off shore to US/Canadian border; Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay; Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI; Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore; Pentwater to Manistee MI; Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 1 at 11:59AM EDT until July 1 at 1:00PM EDT by NWS Gaylord MI |
| Expires | 2026-07-01T13:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Gaylord MI |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ddef97c4cbd075bf972b211725ea7f9d84091a37.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b58793c209b6f3c2b56c10b3513783686868e7b4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ffb8eb7be186cf7a0dd2be8a06a2e368d4e5ffcc.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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